Publications

This publication list is ordered alphabetically by lead author, with names of contributing members of CCRC are in bold. To obtain a copy of any of these publications contact the relevant CCRC member via the CCRC Team page.

In press/submitted - 2014 - 2013 - 2012 - 2011 - 2010 - 2009 - 2008 - 2007 - earlier

In press

Abram, N. et al. Strengthening of the Southern Annular Mode over the past six centuries. Nature Climate Change (Submitted).

Bakker, P. et al. Temperature trends during the Present and Last interglacial periods – A multi-model-data comparison. Quaternary Science Reviews (Submitted).

2014

Green, D. L. & Minchin, L. Living on Climate-Changed Country: Indigenous Health, Well-Being and Climate Change in Remote Australian Communities. EcoHealth, doi:http://dx.doi.org.10.1007/s10393-013-0892-9 (2014).

2013

Chapter - Scholarly Research

Rosenfield, D, Wood, R, Donner, LJ, & Sherwood, S  2013, Aerosol Cloud-Mediated Radiative Forcing: Highly Uncertain and Opposite Effects from Shallow and Deep Clouds, Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modelling and Prediction Prioritie (pp. 105 - 149). Springer, Netherlands.

Sherwood, S, Alexander, Brown, AR, Mcfarlane, NA, et al, 2013, Climate Processes: Clouds, Aerosols and Dynamics, Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modelling and Prediction Prioritie (pp. 73 - 103). Springer, Netherlands.

Lutz Breuer, Jean-François Exbrayat, Ina Plesca, Wouter Buytaert, Theresa Ehmann, Thorsten Peters, Edison Timbe, Katja Trachte, David Windhorst. Global Climate Change Impacts on Local Climate and Hydrology. In A TropicalMountain Ecosystem of South Ecuador: Ecosystem Services, Biodiversity and Environmental Vol. 221 Ch. 29, 265 - 274 (Springer, 2013).

Journal - Refereed & Scholarly Article

Ackerley, D. et al. High-resolution modelling of mid-Holocene New Zealand climate at 6000 yr BP. The Holocene 23, 1272 - 1285, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0959683613484612 (2013).

Ahmed, M. et al. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience 6, 339 -346, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1797 (2013).

Aiken, C., Santoso, A., McGregor, S. & England, M. H. The 1970's shift in ENSO dynamics: A linear inverse model perspective. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 8, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50264 (2013).

Anwar, M. R., Liu, D. L., Macadam, I. & Kelly, G. Adapting agriculture to climate change: a review. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 133, 1-2, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-012-0780-1 (2013).

Argueso Barriga, D., Evans, J. P., Fita Borrell, L. & Bormann, K. Temperature response to future urbanization and climate change. Climate Dynamics May, doi:http//:dx.doi.org/doi.10.1007/s00382-013-1789-6 (2013).

Arzel, O. & England, M. H. Wind-stress feedback amplification of abrupt millennial-scale climate changes. Climate Dynamics 40, 983 - 995, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1288-1 (2013).

Ashok, K., Nagaraju, c. & Sen Gupta, A. Decadal changes in the relationship between the Indian and Australian summer monsoons. Climate Dynamics doi:http//:dx.doi.org/DOI 10.1007/s00382-012-1625-4 (2013).

Baker, A., Bradley, C. & Phipps, S. J. Hydrological modeling of stalagmite δ18O response to glacial-interglacial transitions. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 3207 - 3212, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50555 (2013).

Bell, J. et al. Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change. Nature Climate Change 3, 591 - 599, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1838 (2013).

Bishop, C. H. & Abramowitz, G. Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigmClimate Dynamics Climate Dynamics 41 885 - 900 doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1610-y (2013 ).

Boex, J. et al. Rapid thinning of the late Pleistocene Patagonian Ice Sheet followed migration of the Southern Westerlies. Nature Scientific Reports 3, doi:http://dx.doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1038%2Fsrep02118 (2013).

Bony, S. et al. Robust direct effect of carbon dioxide on tropical circulation and regional precipitation. Nature Geoscience 6, 447 - 451, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1799 (2013).

Brennan, C. E., Meissner, K. J., Eby, M., Hillaire-Marcel, C. & Weaver, A. Impact of sea ice variability on the oxygen isotope content of seawater under glacial and interglacial conditions. Paleoceanography 28, 1 - 13, doi:http://dx.doi.org.10.1002/palo.20036 (2013).

Cook, C. G., Turney, C. & Jones, R. T. Catchment instability and Asian summer monsoon variability during the early Holocene in southwestern China. Boreas 42, 224 - 235 (2013).

Cuoto, A., Holbrook, N. J. & Maharaj, A. Unravelling Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific ENSO Contributions in South Pacific Chlorophyll-a Variability through Remote Sensing. Remote Sensing of Environment 2013, 4067 - 4087, doi:http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.3390/rs5084067 (2013).

Decker, M., Evans, J. P. & Pitman, A. Groundwater constraints on simulated transpiration variability over Southeastern Australian forests. Journal of Hydrometeorology 14, 543 - 559, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-12-058.1 (2013).

Donat, M. G. et al. Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Arab region: long-term trends and variability related to ENSO and NAO. International Journal of Climatology, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3707

Donat, M. G. et al. Global land-based datasets for monitoring climatic extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94, 997 - 1006., doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00109.1 (2013).

Donat, M. G. et al. Updated analyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentieth century: The HadEX2 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research 118, 2098 - 2118, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50150 (2013).

Donat, M. G. Projection and prediction: Local noise and global confidence. Nature Climate Change 3, 1018 - 1019, doi:doi:10.1038/nclimate2061 (2013).

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M. F., Evans, J. P. & Walker, J. P. Effects of spatial aggregation on the multi-scale estimation of evapotranspiration. Remote Sensing of Environment 131 51 - 62, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2012.12.007 (2013).

Ershadi, A., McCabe, M. F., Evans, J. P., Mariethoz, G. & Kavetski, D. A Bayesian analysis of sensible heat flux estimation: quantifying uncertainty in meteorological forcing to improve model prediction. Water Resources Research 49, 2343 - 2358, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20231 (2013).

Evans, J. P. & McCabe, M. F. Effect of model resolution on a regional climate model simulation over southeast Australia. Climate Research 56, 2, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01151 (2013).

Exbrayat, J. F., Pitman, A., Abramowitz, G. & Wang, Y. P. Sensitivity of net ecosystem exchange and heterotrophic respiration to parameterization uncertainty. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres 118, 1640 - 1651, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012JD018122 (2013).

Exbrayat, J. F., Pitman, A., Zhang, Q., Abramowitz, G. & Wang, Y. P. Examining soil carbon uncertainty in a global model: response of microbial decomposition to temperature, moisture and nutrient limitation. Biogeosciences 10, 7095 - 7108, doi:http://dx.doi:10.5194/bg-10-7095-2013 (2013).

Exbrayat, J. F., Viney, N. R., Frede, H. & Breuer, L. Using multi-model averaging to improve the reliability of catchment scale nitrogen predictions. Geoscientific Model Development 6, 117 - 125, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-6-117-2013 (2013).

Farrel, H., Brett, S., Ajani, P. & Murray, S. A. Distribution of the genus Alexandrium (Halim) and paralytic shellfish toxins along the coastline of New South Wales, Australia. Marine Pollution Bulletin 72, 133 -145, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2013.04.009 (2013).

Fernández-Donado, L. et al. Large-scale temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium. Climate of the Past 9, 393 - 421, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-393-2013 (2013).

Fogwill, C. J. Interpreting the scatter of cosmogenic-nuclide exposure ages in the Shackleton Range, Antarctica: implications for glacial history,. Quaternary Geochronology (2013 - In Press).

Fogwill, C. J. Reconstruction of changes in the Weddell Sea sector of the Antarctic Ice Sheet since the Last Glacial Maximum. Quaternary Science Reviews (2013 - In Press).

Gallant, A. J. E., Phipps, S. J., Karoly, D. J., Brett Mullan, A. & Lorrey, A. Non-stationary Australasian Teleconnections and Implications for Paleoclimate Research. Journal of Climate 26, 8827-8849, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00338.1 (2013).

Ganachaud, A. et al. Projected changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean of importance to tuna fisheries. Climatic Change 119, 163 - 179, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0631-1 (2013).

Gilmore, J., Kelleher, A., Cooper, D. & Murray, J. Explaining the determinants of first phase HIV decay dynamics through the effects of stage-dependent drug action. PLoS Computational Biology 9, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002971 (2013).

Goodwin, I. et al. A Reconstruction Of Extratropical Indo-Pacific Sea-Level Pressure Patterns During The Medieval Climate Anomaly. Climate Dynamics doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1899-1 (2013).

Hamylton, S. M., Silverman, J. & Shaw, E. C. The use of remote sensing to scale up measures of carbonate production on reef systems: a comparison of hydrochemical and census-based estimation methods. International Journal of Remote Sensing doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2013.800654 (2013).

Heikkila, U., Phipps, S. J. & Smith, A. M. 10Be in last deglacial climate simulated by ECHAM5-HAM Part 1: Climatological influences on 10Be deposition. Climate of the Past Discussions 9, 3681 - 3709, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-3681-2013 (2013).

Hutchinson, D., England, M. H., Santoso, A. & Hogg, A. Interhemispheric asymmetry in transient global warming: The role of the Drake Passage. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 1587 - 1593, doi:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com./doi/10.1002/grl.50341/abstract;jsessionid=1A130D2B52FAFED27387548D794B133F.d04t02 (2013).

Jex, C. N., Phipps, S. J., Baker, A. & Bradley, C. Reducing uncertainty in the climatic interpretations of speleothem d18O. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2259 - 2264, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50467 (2013).

Jourdain, N. et al. The Indo-Australian monsoon and its relationship to ENSO and IOD in reanalysis data and the CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations. Climate Dynamics 41, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1676-1 (2013).

King, A. D. et al. Limited Evidence of Anthropogenic Influence on the 2011-12 Extreme Rainfall over Southeast Australia. [in “Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94, S55 - S58, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00085.1 (2013).

King, A. D., Alexander, L. & Donat, M. G. The efficacy of using gridded data to examine extreme rainfall characteristics: a case study for Australia. International Journal of Climatology 33, 2376 - 2387, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3588 (2013).

King, A. D., Donat, M. G. & Alexander, L. Asymmetry in the response of Eastern Australia extreme rainfall to low-frequency Pacific variability. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2271 - 2227, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50427 (2013).

Liu, Y. Y. et al. Changing Climate and Overgrazing Are Decimating Mongolian Steppes. PLoS ONE 8, doi:http://dx.doi.10.1371/journal.pone.0057599.g001 (2013).

Liu, Y. Y., van Dijk, A. I. J. M., McCabe, M. F., Evans, J. P. & De Jeu, R. A. M. Global vegetation biomass change (1988-2008) and attribution to environmental and human drivers. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22, 692 - 705, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/geb.12024 (2013).

Lorrey, A. et al. The Little Ice Age climate of New Zealand reconstructed from Southern Alps cirque glaciers: a synoptic type approach. Climate Dynamics doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1876-8 (2013).

Lunt, D. J. et al. A multi-model assessment of the last interglacial temperatures. Climate of the Past 9, 699 - 717, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-9-699-2013 (2013).

Matsumoto, K. & McNeil, B. I. Decoupled response of ocean acidification to variations in climate sensitivity. Journal of Climate 26, 1764 - 1771, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00290.1 (2013).

McGregor, H. V. et al. A weak El Nino-Southern Oscillation with delayed seasonal growth around 4,300 years ago. Nature Geoscience 6, 949 - 953, doi:http://dx.doi:10.1038/ngeo193 (2013 ).

McGregor, H. V. et al. Seasonal expression and forcing of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation 4,400-4,200 years ago. Nature Geoscience (2013 - In Review).

McGregor, S. et al. Meridional movement of wind anomalies during ENSO events and their role in event termination. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 1 - 6, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50136 (2013).

McGregor, S., Timmerman, A., England, M. H., Elison, T. & Wittenberg, A. T. Inferred changes in El Nino-Southern Oscillation variance over the past six centuries. Climate of the Past 9, 2929 - 2966, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cpd-9-2929-2013 (2013).

McInnes, K., Macadam, I., Hubbert, G. & O'Grady, J. An assessment of current and future vulnerability to coastal inundation due to sea level extremes in Victoria, southeast Australia. International Journal of Climatology 33, 33 - 47, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.3405 (2013).

Meinen, C. et al. Variability of the Deep Western Boundary Current at 26.5¿N during 2004-2009. Deep - Sea Research Part II - Topical Studies in Oceanography 85, 154 - 168, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2012.07.036 (2013).

Paris, C., Helgers, J., Van Sebille, E. & Srinivasan, A. Connectivity Modeling System: A probabilistic modeling tool for the multi-scale tracking of biotic and abiotic variability in the ocean. Environmental Modelling and Software 42, 47 - 54 doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.12.006 (2013).

Phipps, S. J. et al. Paleoclimate data-model comparison and the role of climate forcings over the past 1500 years. Journal of Climate 26, 6915 - 6936, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00108.1. (2013).

Pook, M. et al. The seasonal cycle of blocking and associated physical mechanisms in the Australian region and relationship with rainfall. Monthly Weather Review doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00040.1 (2013).

Ramesh, N. & Murtugudde, R. G. All flavours of El Nino have similar early subsurface origins. Nature Climate Change 3, 42 - 46, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1600 (2013).

Reeves, J. et al. Climate variability over the last 35,000 years recorded in marine and terrestrial archives in the Australian region: an OZ-INTIMATE compilation. Quaternary Science Reviews 74, 21 - 34, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.01.001 (2013).

Ridder, N., Meissner, K. J. & England, M. H. Sensitivity of the oceanic carbon reservoir to tropical surface wind stress variations. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2188-2223, doi:http://dx.doi.org.10.1002/grl.50498

Ritz, S. P., Stocker, T. F., Grimalt, J. O., Timmerman, A. & Menviel, L. Estimated strength of the Atlantic overturning circulation during the last deglaciation. Nature Geoscience 6, 208 -212, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1723 (2013).

Robinson, F. J., Patterson, M. & Sherwood, S. C. A numerical modeling study of the propagation of idealized sea-breeze density currents. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 653 - 668, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0113.1 (2013).

Rossi, V., Van Sebille, E., Sen Gupta, A., Garcon, V. & England, M. H. Multi-decadal projections of the pathways and dilution of the Fukushima Cesium-137 radioactive plume. Deep - Sea Research Part I - Oceanographic Research Papers 80, 37 - 46 (2013).

Rotstayn, L. D. et al. Anthropogenic effects on the subtropical jet in the Southern Hemisphere: Aerosols versus long-lived greenhouse gases. Environmental Research Letters 8, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014030 (2013).

Sasse, T., McNeil, B. I. & Abramowitz, G. A new constraint on global air-sea CO2 fluxes using bottle carbon data. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 1594 - 1599, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50342 (2013).

Schurer, A., S., Hegari, I., Mann, M. E., Tett, S. & Phipps, S. J. Separating forced from chaotic climate variability over the past millennium. Journal of Climate 26, 6954 - 6973, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00826.1 (2013).

Scussolini, P. & Van Sebille, E. Paleo Agulhas rings enter the subtropical gyre during the penultimate deglaciation. Climate of the Past Discussions 9, 2095 - 2114,

Sen Gupta, A. et al. Implications of CMIP3 model biases and uncertainties for climate projections in the western tropical Pacific. Climatic Change 119, 147 - 161, doi:http//:dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0603-5 (2013).

Shaw, E. C., McNeil, B. I., Tilbrook, B., Mataer, R. & Bates, M. L. Anthropogenic changes to seawater buffer capacity combined with natural reef metabolism induce extreme future coral reef CO2 conditions. Global Change Biology 19, 1632 - 1641, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12154 (2013).

Sherwood, S. C. & Risi, C. The HDO/H2O relationship in tropospheric water vapor in an idealized "last-saturation" model. Journal of Geophysical Research : Atmospheres 117 (2013).

Sherwood, S. C. Where do winds come from? Nature Education Knowledge 4, 5 - 5 (2013).

Sherwood, S. C., Hernandez-Deckers, D., Colin, M. & Robinson, F. Slippery thermals and the cumulus entrainment paradox. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 70, 2426 - 2442, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0220.1 (2013).

Simpkins, G. R., Ciasto, L. M. & England, M. H. Observed variations in multi-decadal Antarctic sea ice trends during 1979-2012. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 3643 - 3648, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/grl.50715 (2013).

Simpson, C., Sharples, J. J., Evans, J. P. & McCabe, M. F. Large eddy simulation of atypical wildland fire spread on leeward slopes. International Journal of Wildland Fire 22, 599 - 614 (2013).

Speer, M. S. Dust storm frequency and impact over eastern Australia determined by state of Pacific climate system. Weather & Climate Extremes 2, 16-21, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2013.10.004 (2013).

Spence, P., Saenko, O. A., Sijp, W. & England, M. H. High resolution simulations of the North Atlantic climate response to Lake Agassiz drainage. Journal of Climate 26, 2651 - 2667, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00683.1 (2013).

Spence, P., Saenko, O. A., Sijp, W. & England, M. H. North Atlantic climate response to lake Agassiz drainage at coarse and ocean eddy-permitting resolutions. Journal of Climate 26, 2651 - 2667, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00683.1 (2013).

Ummenhofer, C. C. et al. Pacific Ocean contribution to the asymmetry in eastern Indian Ocean variability. Journal of Climate 26, 1152 - 1171, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00673.1 (2013).

Ummenhofer, C. C., D'Arrigo, Anchukaitis, K., Buckley, B. & Cook, E. R. Links between Indo-Pacific climate variability and drought in the Monsoon Asia Drought Atlas. Climate Dynamics 40, 1319 - 1334, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1458-1 (2013).

Van Sebille, E. et al. Abyssal connections of Antarctic Bottom Water in a Southern Ocean State Estimate. Geophysical Research Letters 40, 2177 - 2182, doi:http://dx.doi/10.1002/grl.50483/ (2013).

Westra, S., Evans, J. P., Mehrotra, R. & Sharma, A. A conditional disaggregation algorithm for generating fine time-scale rainfall data in a warmer climate. Journal of Hydrology 479, 86 - 99, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.033 (2013).

Widlansky, M. J. et al. Changes in South Pacific rainfall bands in a warming climate. Nature Climate Change 3, 417 - 423, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1726 (2013).

Wilkins, D., van Sebille, E., Rintoul, S. R., Lauro, F. M. & Cavicchioli, R. Advection shapes Southern Ocean microbial assemblages independent of distance and environment effects,. Nature Communications 4, doi:http://dx.doi.orgDOI:10.1038/ncomms3457 (2013).

Wohlfart, T. et al. Spatial distribution of soils determines export of nitrogen and dissolved organic carbon from an intensively managed agricultural landscape. Biogeosciences 9, 4513 - 4525, doi:http:dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-9-4513-2012 (2013).

Wong, P., Lai, P. C. & Hart, M. Microclimate Variations between Semi-enclosed and Open Sections of a Marathon Route. Advances in Meteorology 2013, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/287934 (2013).

Zika, J., Sijp, W. & England, M. H. Vertical Heat Transport by the Ocean Circulation and the Role of Mechanical and Haline Forcing. Journal of Physical Oceanography 43, 2095 - 2112, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-12-0179.1 (2013).

Government Report

England, MH, Karoly, DJ, & Stef, W  2013, Off the charts: Extreme Australian summer heat

2012

Books

Saul, B, Sherwood, S, McAdam, JA, Stephens, T, & et al, 2012, Climate Change and Australia: Warming to the Global Challenge, Federation Press, Australia.

Book Chapters

Alexander, LV, & Tebaldi, C, 2012, Weather and Climate Extremes: observations, modelling, projections, The Future of the World's Climate (2nd, pp. 253 - 288)., Elsevier Science.

Turney, C 2012, Surface 3C in Australia: A quantified measure of annual precipitation?, Peopled Landscapes (Terra Australis 34) (pp. 435 - 443), ANU, Australia.

Journal articles

Abramowitz, G, Pouyanne, L, & Ajami, H, 2012, 'On the information content of surface meteorology for downward atmospheric long-wave radiation synthesis', Geophysical Research Letters, 39, Article No. L04808.

Abramowitz, G, 2012, 'Towards a public, standardized, diagnostic benchmarking system for land surface models', Geoscientific Model Development, 5, pp. 819 - 827.

Allen, RJ, Sherwood, S, Norris, JR, & Zender, CS, 2012, 'Recent Northern Hemisphere tropical expansion primarily driven by black carbon and tropospheric ozone', Nature, 485, pp. 350 - 354.

Allen, RJ, Sherwood, S, Norris, JR, & Zender, CS, 2012, 'The equilibrium response to idealized thermal forcings in a comprehensive GCM: implications for recent tropical expansion', Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12, pp. 4795 - 4816.

Arblaster, JM, & Alexander, LV, 2012, 'The impact of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation on maximum temperature extremes', Geophysical Research Letters, 39, Article No. L20702.

Argueso, D, Hidalgo-Munoz, JM, Gamiz-Fortis, SR, Esteban-Parra, MJ, et al, 2012, 'Evaluation of WRF Mean and Extreme Precipitation over Spain: Present Climate (1970-99)', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 4883 - 4895.

Arzel, O, England, MH, Colin de verdiere, A, & Huck, T, 2012, 'Abrupt millennial variability and interdecadal-interstadial oscillations in a global coupled model: sensitivity to the background climate state', Climate Dynamics, 39, pp. 259 - 275.

Avila, FB, Pitman, AJ, Donat, MG, Alexander, LV, Abramowitz, G, 2012, 'Climate model simulated changes in temperature extremes due to land cover change', Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 117, pp. 4621 - 4640.

Baker, A, Bradley, C, Phipps, S, Fischer, M, et al, 2012, 'Millennial-length forward models and pseudoproxies of stalagmite 8O: an example from NW Scotland', Climate of the Past Discussions, 8, pp. 869 - 907.

Bates, ML, Griffies, SM, & England, MH, 2012, 'A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models, Part II: Idealised overflow tests', Ocean Modelling, 59-60, pp. 60 - 76.

Bates, ML, Griffies, SM & England, MH, 2012, 'A dynamic, embedded Lagrangian model for ocean climate models. Part I: Theory and implementation', Ocean Modelling, 59-60, pp. 41 - 59.

Blockley, SPE, Lane, CS, Hardiman, M, Rasmussen, SO, Turney, C, et al, 2012, 'Synchronisation of palaeoenvironmental records over the last 60,000 years, and an extended INTIMATE1 event stratigraphy to 48,000 b2k', Quaternary Science Reviews, 36, pp. 2 - 10.

Blockley, SPE, Lane, CS, Turney, C, & Bronk Ramsey, C, 2012, 'The INTegration of Ice core, MArine and TErrestrial records of the last termination (INTIMATE) 60,000 to 8000 BP', Quaternary Science Reviews, 36, pp. 1.

Boisier, J-P, De Noblet-Ducoudré, Pitman, AJ, Cruz, FT, et al, 2012, 'Attributing the impacts of land-cover changes in temperate regions on surface temperature and heat fluxes to specific causes: Results from the first LUCID set of simulations', Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, Article No. D12116.

Bormann, KJ, Westra, SP, Evans, JP, & McCabe, MF, 2012, 'Spatial and temporal variability in seasonal snow density', Journal of Hydrology, 484, pp. 63 - 73.

Bormann, KJ, Mccabe, M, & Evans, JP, 2012, 'Satellite based observations for seasonal snow cover detection and characterisation in Australia', Remote Sensing of Environment, 123, pp. 57 - 71.

Bradshaw, C, Cooper, A, Turney, C, & Brook, B, 2012, 'Robust estimates of extinction time in the geological record', Quaternary Science Reviews, 33, pp. 14 - 19.

Brennan, CE, Weaver, A, Eby, M, & Meissner, K, 2012, 'Modelling oxygen isotopes in the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model for Pre-industrial and Last Glacial Maximum Conditions', Atmosphere - Ocean, 50, pp. 447 - 465.

Bryan, SE, Cook, AG, Evans, JP, Hebden, K, et al, 2012, 'Rapid, long-distance dispersal by pumice rafting', PLoS One , 7, Article No. e40583.

Chamberlain, MA, Sun, C, Matear, R, & Phipps, SJ, 2012, 'Downscaling the climate change for oceans around Australia', Geoscientific Model Development, 5, pp. 425 - 458.

Clarke, H, Lucas, & Smith, P, 2012, 'Changes in Australian fire weather between 1973 and 2010', International Journal of Climatology, 33, pp. 931 - 944.

Cook, C, & Jones, RT, 2012, 'Catchment instability and Asian summer monsoon variability during the early Holocene in southwestern China', Boreas, 42, pp. 224 - 235.

Cook, C, Leng, MJ, Jones, RT, Langdon, PG, et al, 2012, 'Lake ecosystem dynamics and links to climate change inferred from a stable isotope and organic palaeorecord from a mountain lake in southwestern China (ca. 22.6-10.5 cal ka BP)', Quaternary Research, 77, pp. 132 - 137.

Cook, C, & Jones, RT, 2012, 'Palaeoclimate dynamics in continental Southeast Asia over the last approximately 30,000 Cal yrs BP', Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology, 339-341, pp. 1 - 11.

Decker, M, Brunke, MA, Wang, Z, Sakaguchi, K, et al, 2012, 'Evaluation of the reanalysis products from GSFC, NCEP, and ECMWF using flux tower observations', Journal of Climate, 6, pp. 1916 - 1944.

Donat, MG, & Alexander, LV, 2012, 'The shifting probability distribution of global daytime and night-time temperatures', Geophysical Research Letters, 39, pp. Article No. L14707.

Evans, JP, & Westra, SP, 2012, 'Investigating the mechanisms of diurnal rainfall variability using a regional climate model', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 7232 - 7247.

Evans, JP, & Boyer-Souchet, I, 2012, 'Local sea surface temperatures add to extreme precipitation in northeast Australia during La Ni', Geophysical Research Letters, 39, Article No. L10803.

Fernández-donado, L, González-rouco, JF, Raible, C, Ammann, C, Phipps, SJ, et al, 2012, 'Temperature response to external forcing in simulations and reconstructions of the last millennium', Climate of the Past, 8, pp. 4003 - 4073.

Fogwill, CJ, Hein, A, Bentley, MJ, & Sugden, DE, 2012, 'Do blue-ice moraines in the Heritage Range show the West Antarctic Ice Sheet survived the last interglacial?', Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology, 335-336, pp. 61 - 70.

Froyland, G, Horenkamp, C, Rossi, V, Santitissadeekorn, N & Sen Gupta, A, 2012, 'Three-dimensional characterization and tracking of an Agulhas Ring', Ocean Modelling, 52-53, pp. 69 - 75.

García díez, Fernandez, J, Fita Borrell, L, & Yague, C, 2012, 'Seasonal dependence of WRF model biases and sensitivity to PBL schemes over Europe', Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139, pp. 501 - 514.

Gergis, J, Gallant, AJE, Braganza, K, Karoly, D, McGregor, S, et al, 2012, 'On the long-term context of the 1997-2009 'Big Dry' in south-eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction', Climatic Change, 111, pp. 923 - 944.

Green, D, Niall, S, & Morrison, J, 2012, 'Bridging the gap between theory and practice in climate change vulnerability assessments for remote Indigenous communities in northern Australia', Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability, 17, pp. 295 - 315.

Gupta, HV, Clark, MP, Vrugt, JA, Abramowitz, G, et al, 2012, 'Towards a comprehensive assessment of model structural adequacy', Water Resources Research, 48, Article No. W08301.

Hughes, A, Rainsley , Tavi Murray, E, Fogwill, CJ, et al, 2012, 'Rapid response of Helheim Glacier, Southeast Greenland to early Holocene climate warming', Geology, 40, pp. 427 - 430.

Jha, S, Mariethoz, G, Evans, JP, & McCabe, MF, 2012, 'Demonstration of a geostatistical approach to physically consistent downscaling of climate modeling simulations', Water Resources Research, 49, pp. 245 - 259.

Jones, RT, Cook, C, Zhang, E, Langdon, PG, et al, 2012, 'Holocene environmental change at Lake Shudu, Yunnan Province, southwestern China', Hydrobiologia, 693, pp. 223 - 235.

Kidston, J, & Vallis, GK, 2012, 'The relationship between the speed and the latitude of an eddy-driven jet in a stirred barotropic model', Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69, pp. 3250 - 3263.

Li, Y, Jourdain, NC, Taschetto, AS, Ummenhofer, CC, et al, 2012, 'Evaluation of monsoon seasonality and the tropospheric biennial oscillation transitions in the CMIP models', Geophysical Research Letters, 39, Article number: L20713.

Liu, Y, Dorigo, W, Parinussa, R, De Jeu, R, Evans, JP, et al, 2012, 'Trend-preserving blending of passive and active microwave soil moisture retrievals', Remote Sensing of Environment, 123, pp. 280 - 297.

Luo, YQ, Randerson, J, Abramowitz, G, Bacour, C, et al, 2012, 'A framework for benchmarking land models', Biogeosciences, 9, pp. 3857 - 3874.

McGregor, S, Sen Gupta, AR, & England, MH, 2012, 'Constraining wind stress products with sea surface height observations and implications for Pacific Ocean sea level trend attribution', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 8164 - 9176.

McGregor, S, Timmerman, A, Schneider, N, Stuecker, M, et al, 2012, 'The Effect of the South Pacific Convergence Zone on the Termination of El Ni Events and the Meridional Asymmetry of ENSO', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 5566 - 5586.

McNeil, BI, & Matear, RJ, 2012, 'The non-steady-state oceanic CO2 signal: Its importance, magnitude and a novel way to detect it', Biogeosciences Discussions, 9, pp. 13161 - 13186.

Meissner, K, Lippmann, T, & Sen Gupta, AR 2012, 'Large-scale stress factors affecting coral reefs: open ocean sea surface temperature and surface seawater aragonite saturation over the next 400 years', Coral Reefs, 31, pp. 309 - 319.

Meissner, K, McNeil, BI, Eby, M, & Wiebe, EC, 2012, 'Multi-millennial coral reef habitat recovery: the importance of the terrestrial weathering feedback', Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 26, Article No. GB3017.

Meissner, K, Eby, M, Wiebe, EC, & McNeil, BI, 2012, 'The importance of the terrestrial weathering feedback for multimillennial coral reef habitat recovery', Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 26, Article No. GB3017.

Menviel, L, Joos, F, & Ritz, SP, 2012, 'Simulating atmospheric CO2, 13C and the marine carbon cycle during the Last Glacial-Interglacial cycle: Possible role for a deepening of the mean remineralization depth and an increase in the oceanic nutrient inventory', Quaternary Science Reviews, 56, pp. 46 - 68.

O'Neill, C, Green, D, & Lui, W, 2012, 'How to make climate change research relevant for Indigenous communities in Torres Strait, Australia', Local Environment: The International Journal of Justice and Sustainability, 2012, pp. 1 - 17.

Pagani, M, Huber, M, Liu, Z, Bohaty, SM, Sijp, WP, et al, 2012, 'The role of carbon dioxide during the onset of antarctic glaciation', Science, 334, pp. 1261 - 1264.

Perkins, SE, Alexander, LV, & Nairn, JR, 2012, 'Increasing frequency, intensity and duration of observed global heatwaves and warm spells', Geophysical Research Letters, 39, Article No. L20714.

Phipps, SJ, Rotstayn, LD, Gordon, HB, Roberts, JL, et al, 2012, 'The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0-Part 2: Response to external forcings', Geoscientific Model Development, 5, pp. 649 - 682.

Pitman, AJ, De Noblet-Ducoudre, N, Avila, F, Alexander, LV, Cruz, F & Donat, M, et al, 2012, 'Effects of land cover change on temperature and rainfall extremes in multi-model ensemble simulations', Earth System Dynamics, 3, pp. 213 - 231.

Pitman, AJ, Arneth, A, & Ganzeveld, L, 2012, 'Regionalizing global climate models', International Journal of Climatology, 32, pp. 321 - 337.

Pui, A, Sharma, A, Santoso, A, & Westra, SP, 2012, 'Impact of the El Nino Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode on daily to sub-daily rainfall characteristics in East Australia', Monthly Weather Review, 140, pp. 1665 - 1682.

Rule, S, Brook, BW, Haberle, S, Turney, C, et al, 2012, 'The aftermath of megafaunal extinction: Ecosystem transformation in Pleistocene Australia', Science , 335, pp. 1483 - 1486.

Saenko, OA, Sen Gupta, AR, & Spence, P, 2012, 'On challenges in predicting bottom water transport in the Southern Ocean', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 1349 - 1356.

Santoso, A, England, MH, & Cai, W, 2012, 'Impact of Indo-Pacific feedback interactions on ENSO dynamics diagnosed using ensemble climate simulations', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 7743 - 7763.

Sasse, TP, McNeil, BI, & Abramowitz, G, 2012, 'A novel method for diagnosing seasonal to inter-annual surface ocean carbon dynamics from bottle data using neural networks', Biogeosciences Discussions, 9, pp. 15329 - 15380.

Sen Gupta, AR, Muir, L, Brown, JN, & Phipps, SJ, 2012, 'Climate drift in the CMIP3 models', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 4621 - 4640.

Sen Gupta, AR, Ganachaud, A, McGregor, S, Brown, JN, et al, 2012, 'Drivers of the projected changes to the Pacific Ocean equatorial circulation', Geophysical Research Letters, 39, Article No. L09605.

Shaw, EC, McNeil, BI, & Tilbrook, B, 2012, 'Impacts of ocean acidification in naturally variable coral reef flat ecosystems', Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, Article No. C03038.

Sherwood, S, & Risi, C, 2012, 'The HDO/H2O relationship in tropospheric water vapor in an idealized "last-saturation" model', Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres, 117, Article No. D19205.

Sijp, WP, 2012, 'Characterising meridional overturning bistability using a minimal set of state variables', Climate Dynamics, 39, pp. 2127 - 2142.

Sijp, WP, England, MH, & Gregory, JM, 2012, 'Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part I: Equilibrium states', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 282 - 298.

Sijp, WP, & England, MH, 2012, 'Precise calculations of the existence of multiple AMOC equilibria in coupled climate models. Part II: Transient behavior', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 299 - 306.

Sijp, WP, Gregory, JM, Tailleux, R, & Spence, P, 2012, 'The key role of the western boundary in linking the AMOC strength to the north-south pressure gradient', Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, pp. 628 - 643.

Simpkins, GR, Ciasto, L, Thompson, DW, & England, MH, 2012, 'Seasonal relationships between large-scale climate variability and Antarctic Sea ice concentration', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 5451 - 5469.

Simpkins, GR, & Karpechko, AY, 2012, 'Sensitivity of the southern annular mode to greenhouse gas emission scenarios', Climate Dynamics, 38, pp. 563 - 572.

Spence, P, Saenko, OA, Dufour, CO, Le Sommer, J, et al, 2012, 'Mechanisms maintaining southern ocean meridional heat transport under projected wind forcing', Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, pp. 1923 - 1931.

Spence, P, Saenko, OA, Sijp, WP, & England, MH, 2012, 'The role of bottom pressure torques on the interior pathways of North Atlantic Deep Water', Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, pp. 110 - 125.

Taschetto, AS, & Ambrizzi, T, 2012, 'Can Indian Ocean SST anomalies influence South American rainfall?', Climate Dynamics, 38, pp. 1615 - 1628.

Tokinaga, H, Xie, S-P, Timmerman, A, McGregor, S, et al, 2012, 'Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 1689 - 1710.

Van Sebille, E, Johns, W, & Beal, L, 2012, 'Does the vorticity flux from Agulhas rings control the zonal pathway of NADW across the South Atlantic?', Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, Article No. C05037.

Van Sebille, E, England, MH, & Froyland, G, 2012, 'Origin, dynamics and evolution of ocean garbage patches from observed surface drifters', Environmental Research Letters, 7, Article No. 044040.

Van Sebille, E, England, MH, Zika, JD, & Sloyan, BM 2012, 'Tasman leakage in a fine-resolution ocean model', Geophysical Research Letters , 39, pp. L06601 - .

Von Storch, J-S, Eden, C, Fast, I, Haak, H, Hernandez-Deckers, D, et al, 2012, 'An estimate of the Lorenz energy cycle for the World Ocean based on the 1/10STORM/NCEP simulation', Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, pp. 2185 - 2205.

Walker, M, Lowe, JJ, Blockley, SPE, Bryant, CJ, Turney, C, et al, 2012, 'Lateglacial and early Holocene palaeoenvironmental 'events' in Sluggan Bog, Northern Ireland: Comparisons with the Greenland NGRIP GICC05 event stratigraphy', Quaternary Science Reviews, 36, pp. 124 - 138.

Wang, L, D'Odorico, P, Evans, JP, Eldridge, DJ, et al, 2012, 'Dryland ecohydrology and climate change: Critical issues and technical advances', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 9, pp. 4777 - 4825.

Wania, R, Meissner, K, Eby, M, Arora, V, et al, 2012, 'Carbon-nitrogen feedbacks in the UVic ESCM', Geoscientific Model Development, 5, pp. 1137 - 1160.

Willett, K.M, & Sherwood, S, 2012, 'Exceedance of heat index thresholds for 15 regions under a warming climate using the wet-bulb globe temperature', International Journal of Climatology, 32, pp. 161 - 177.

Young, PJ, Rosenlof, KH, Solomon, S, Sherwood, S, et al, 2012, 'Changes in stratospheric temperatures and their implications for changes in the Brewer-Dobson circulation, 1979-2005', Journal of Climate, 25, pp. 1759 - 1772.

Zika, JD, England, MH, & Sijp, WP, 2012, 'The Ocean Circulation in Thermohaline Coordinates', Journal of Physical Oceanography, 42, pp. 708 - 724.

2011

Ackerley, D., A. Lorrey, et al (2011) Using synoptic type analysis to understand New Zealand climate during the Mid-Holocene, Climate of the Past Discussions.

Alexander, L. V. and C. Tebaldi (2011) Weather and Climate Extremes: observations, modelling, projections, Elsevier Science.

Alexander, L. V. (2011). Extreme heat rooted in dry soils. Nature Geoscience 4(1): 12-13.

Alexander, L. V., X. L. Wang, et al. (2011). Significant decline in storminess over south-east Australia since the late 19th century. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 61: 23-30.

Allen, R. J. and S. C. Sherwood (2011). The impact of natural versus anthropogenic aerosols on atmospheric circulation in the Community Atmosphere Model. Climate Dynamics 36: 1959-1978.

Arzel, O., M. H. England, et al. (2011). The Impact of Wind Stress Feedback on the Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Journal of Climate 24: 1965–1984.

Ashe, B., J. McAneney, et al (2011). Is the allocation of resources towards mitigation and response to fire in Australia optimal?, Journal of Risk Research.

Avis, C. A. A., A. J. Weaver, et al. (In Press). Evolution of high-latitude wetlands in response to permafrost thaw. Nature Geoscience.

Beaumont, L. J., A. J. Pitman, et al (2011) Impacts of climate change on the world's most exceptional ecoregions, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America - Biological Sciences.

Caesar, J., L. V. Alexander, et al. (2011). Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Indo-Pacific region from 1971 to 2005. International Journal of Climatology 31: 791-801.

Cai, W., T. Cowan, et al (2011) Are anthropogenic aerosols responsible for the northwest Australia summer rainfall increase? A CMIP3 perspective and implications, Journal of Climate.

Chae, J. H., D. L. Wu, et al. (2011). The role of tropical deep convective clouds on temperature, water vapor, and dehydration in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL). Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions 11: 3811-3821.

Ciasto, L., M. Alexander, et al (2011) On the persistence of cold-season SST anomalies associated with the Annular Modes, Journal of Climate.

Ciasto, L. M. and M. H. England (2011). Observed ENSO teleconnections to Southern Ocean SST anomalies diagnosed from a surface mixed layer heat budget. Geophysical Research Letters 38.

Clarke, H. C., P. L. Smith, et al. (2011). Regional signatures of future fire weather over Eastern Australia from Global Climate Models. International Journal of Wildland Fire 20: 550-562.

Cook, C. G., R. T. Jones, et al. (2011). New insights on Late Quarternary Asian palaeomonsoon variability and timing of the Last Glacial Maximum in southwestern China. Quarternary Science Reviews 30: 808-820.

Cowan, T. and W. Cai (2011). The impact of Asian and non-Asian anthropogenic aerosols on 20th century Asian summer monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters 38(11): 5pp.

D'Arrigo, R., N. Abram, et al. (2011). Reconstructed streamflow for Citarum River, Java, Indonesia: linkages to tropical climate dynamics. Climate Dynamics 36: 451-462.

D'Arrigo R, Palmer J, Ummenhofer CC, Kyaw NN, and Krusic P. (2011). Three centuries of Myanmar monsoon climate variability inferred from teak tree rings. Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L24705, doi:10.1029/2011GL049927

d'Orgeville, M., M. H. England, et al (2011) Buffered versus non-buffered ocean carbon reservoir variations: Application to the sensitivity of atmospheric pCO2 to ocean circulation changes, Geophysical Research Letters.

Donat, M. G., G. C. Leckebusch, et al. (2011). Future changes of European winter storm losses and extreme wind speeds in multi-model GCM and RCM simulations. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 11: 1351-1370.

Donat, M. G., D. Renggli, et al. (2011). Reanalysis suggests long-term upward trends in European storminess since 1871. Geophysical Research Letters: 38. L14703.

Dufour, C. O., J. Le Sommer, et al. (2011). Structure and Causes of the Pulsation Mode in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current South of Australia. Journal of Physical Oceanography 41: 253–268.

England, M. H., O. A. Saenko, et al (2011) Subduction and transport in the Indian and Pacific Oceans in a 2 CO2 climate, Journal of Climate.

Evans, J. P. and A. Alsamawi (2011). The Importance of the Zagros Mountains Barrier Jet to Future Precipitation in the Fertile Crescent. The Open Atmospheric Science Journal 5: 87-95.

Evans, J. P., A. J. Pitman, (2011) Coupled atmospheric and land surface dynamics over southeast Australia: a review, analysis and identification of future research priorities, International Journal of Climatology.

Fogwill, C. J., A. Hein, et al (2011) Do blue-ice moraines in the Heritage Range show the West Antarctic Ice Sheet survived the last interglacial?, Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology.

Garcia-Garcia, D., C. C. Ummenhofer, et al. (2011). Australian water mass variations from GRACE data linked to Indo-Pacific climate variability. Remote Sensing of Environment 115: 2175-2183.

Gergis, J., A. J. E. Gallant, et al (2011) On the long-term context of the 1997-2009 'Big Dry' in south-eastern Australia: insights from a 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction, Climatic Change.

Hein, A. S., C. J. Fogwill, et al. (2011). Glacial/interglacial ice-stream stability in the Weddell Sea embayment. Antarctica: Earth and Planetary Science Letters 307(1-2): 211-221.

Hill, K. J., A. S. Taschetto, et al. (2011). Sensitivity of South American summer rainfall to tropical Pacific Ocean SST anomalies. Geophysical Research Letters 38: L01701.

Hogg, A. G., J. Palmer, et al (2011) High-precision radiocarbon measurements of tree-ring dated wood from New Zealand: 195 BC-AD 995, Radiocarbon.

Holbrook, N. J., I. D. Goodwin, et al (2011) ENSO to multi-decadal time scale changes in East Australian Current transports and Fort Denison sea level: oceanic Rossby waves as the connecting mechanism, Deep - Sea Research Part II - Topical Studies in Oceanography.

Irving, D. B., S. E. Perkins, et al (2011) Evaluating global climate models for the Pacific island region, Climate Research.

Johnson, F. M., S. Westra, et al (2011) An Assessment of GCM Skill in Simulating Persistence across Multiple Time Scales, Journal of Climate.

Kidston, J., A. S. Taschetto, et al (2011) The influence of Southern Hemisphere sea-ice extent on the latitude of the mid-latitude jet stream, Geophysical Research Letters.

Kvale, K., K. Meissner, et al (2011) The combined impact of CO2-dependent parameterisations of Redfield and Rain ratios on ocean carbonate saturation, Biogeosciences Discussions.

Le brocq, A. M., M. J. Bentley, et al (2011) Reconstructing the Last Glacial Maximum ice sheet in the Weddell Sea embayment, Antarctica, using numerical modelling constrained by field evidence, Quaternary Science Reviews.

Liu, Y., R. Parinussa, et al (2011) Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.

Liu, Y., R. De Jeu, et al (2011) Global long-term passive microwave satellite-based retrievals of vegetation optical depth, Geophysical Research Letters.

Mao, J., S. J. Phipps, et al (2011) The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.0 coupled to the CABLE land surface scheme v1.4b: Evaluation of the control climatology, Geoscientific Model Development.

Mao, J., A. J. Pitman, et al. (2011). Global and regional coupled climate sensitivity to the parameterization of rainfall interception. Climate Dynamics 37: 171-186.

McGregor, S. and A. Timmerman (2011) The effect of explosive tropical volcanism on ENSO, Journal of Climate.

McNeil, B. I., C. Sweeney, et al. (2011). Natural seasonal variability of aragonite saturation state within two Antarctic coastal ocean sites. Antarctic Science: 1-2.

Montenegro, A., P. Spence, et al. (2011). Climate simulations of the Permian-Triassic boundary: Ocean acidification and the extinction event. Paleoceanography: 26.

Phipps, S. J., L. D. Rotstayn, et al. (2011). The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0 - Part 1: Description and evaluation. Geoscientific Model Development 4: 483-509.

Pitman, A. J., F. Avila, et al (2011) Importance of background climate in determining impact of land-cover change on regional climate, Nature Climate Change.

Robinson, F. J., S. C. Sherwood, et al. (2011). Exploring the land-ocean contrast in convective vigor using islands. Journal of the Atmospheric Science 68.

Saenko, O. A., X.-Y. Yang, et al. (2011). Subduction and Transport in the Indian and Pacific Oceans in a 2 X CO2 Climate. Journal of Climate 24: 1821-1838.

Santoso, A., W. Cai, et al. (2011). The role of the Indonesian Throughflow on ENSO dynamics in a coupled climate model. Journal of Climate 24: 585-601.

Sijp, W. P., M. H. England, et al (2011) Effect of the deepening of the Tasman Gateway on the global ocean, Paleoceanography.

Speer, M.S., J. Phillips, et al (2011) Meteorological aspects of the 31 March 2009 Coffs Harbour Flash Flood. Australian Meteorological & Oceanographic Journal.

Spence, P., O. A. Saenko, et al (2011) The role of bottom pressure torques in setting interior pathways of North Atlantic Deep Water, Journal of Physical Oceanography.

Taschetto, A. S., and T. Ambrizzi (2011) Can Indian Ocean SST anomalies influence South American rainfall?, Climate Dynamics.

Taschetto, A. S., A. R. Sen Gupta, et al (2011) The Contribution of Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomalies on Australian summer rainfall during El Nino events, Journal of Climate.

Thompson, D. W., S. Solomon, et al (2011) Signatures of the Antarctic ozone hole in Southern Hemisphere surface climate change, Nature Geoscience.

Thorne, P. W., P. Brohan, et al. (2011). A quantification of uncertainties in historical tropical tropospheric temperature trends from radiosondes. Journal of Geophysical Research 116.

Tokinaga, H., S.-P. Xie, et al (2011) Regional Patterns of Tropical Indo-Pacific Climate Change: Evidence of the Walker Circulation Weakening, Journal of Climate.

Ummenhofer, C. C., A. Sen Gupta, et al. (2011). Indian and Pacific Ocean influences on Southeast Australian drought and soil moisture. Journal of Climate 24: 1313-1336.

Ummenhofer, C. C., A. R. Sen Gupta, et al (2011). Corrigendum, Journal of Climate.

Ummenhofer, C. C., A. Sen Gupta, et al. (2011). Multi-decadal modulation of the El Nino-Indian monsoon relationship by Indian Ocean variability. Environmental Research Letters 6.

Van Sebille, E., M. Baringer, et al (2011) Propagation pathways of classical Labrador Sea water from its source region to 26N, Journal of Geophysical Research.

Wang, Y.-P., E. Kowalczyk, et al. (2011). Diagnosing errors in a land surface model (CABLE) in the time and frequency domains. Journal of Geophysical Research 116.

Zhang X,Alexander L, Hegerl GC, Jones P, Klein Tank A, Peterson TC, Trewin, B, Zwiers FW. 2011. Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data. WIREs Climate Change doi:10.1002/wcc.147.

2010

Abramowitz, G. (2010), Model independence in multi-model ensemble prediction, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 59, 3-6.

Alexander, L. V., P. Uotila, N. Nicholls, and A. Lynch (2010), A new daily pressure dataset for Australia and its application to the assessment of changes in synoptic patterns during the last century, Journal of Climate, 23(5), 1111-1126.

Allen, R. J., and S. C. Sherwood (2010), Aerosol-cloud semi-direct effect and land-sea temperature contrast in a GCM, Geophysical Research Letters, 37.

Arndt, D. S., M. O. Baringer, M. R. Johnson, L. V. Alexander, et al. (2010), State of the Climate in 2009, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91(7), S1-S218.

Arzel, O., A. C. de Verdière, and M. H. England (2010), The role of oceanic heat transport and wind stress forcing in abrupt millennial-scale climate transitions, Journal of Climate, 23, 2233-2256.

Chae, J. H., and S. C. Sherwood (2010), Insights into cloud-top height and dynamics from seasonal cycle of cloud-top heights observed by MISR in the west Pacific region, Journal of the Atmospheric Science, 67.

Cruz, F. T., A. J. Pitman, and J. McGregor (2010), Probabilistic simulations of the impact of increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide on the global land surface, Climate Dynamics, 34, 361-379.

Cruz, F. T., A. J. Pitman, J. McGregor, and J. P. Evans (2010), Contrasting regional responses to increasing leaf-level atmospheric carbon dioxide over Australia, Journal of Hyrometeorology, 11(2), 296-314.

Cruz, F. T., A. J. Pitman, and Y.-P. Wang (2010), Can the stomatal response to higher atmospheric carbon dioxide explain the unusual temperatures during the 2002 Murray-Darling Basin drought?, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115.

d'Orgeville, M., W. P. Sijp, M. H. England, and K. J. Meissner (2010), On the control of glacial-interglacial atmospheric CO2 variations by the Southern Hemisphere westerlies, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L21703.

Evans, J. P. (2010), Global warming impact on the dominant precipitation process in the Middle East, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99(3), 389-402.

Evans, J. P., and M. F. McCabe (2010), Regional climate simulation over Australia's Murray-Darling basin: A multitemporal assessment, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115.

Green, D., and L. Minchin (2010), Screw Light Bulbs: Smarter Solutions to Tackling Climate Change, Scribe, Melbourne.

Green, D. L., J. Billy, and A. Tapim (2010), Indigenous Australians' knowledge of weather and climate, Climatic Change, 100(2), 337-354.

Green, D. L., and G. Raygorodetsky (2010), Indigenous knowledge of a changing climate, Climatic Change, 100(2), 239-242.

Green, D. L., L. V. Alexander, K. McInnes, J. Church, et al. (2010), An assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation for the Torres Strait Islands, Australia, Climatic Change, 102(3-4), 405-433 http://www.springerlink.com/content/0165-0009/102/3-4/

Knutti, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Collins, V. Eyring, et al. (2010), Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections, 13 pp, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

Liu, Y. Y., J. P. Evans, M. F. McCabe, R. A. M. de Jeu, et al. (2010), Influence of cracking clays on satellite estimated and model simulated soil moisture, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 14, 979-990.

Luffman, J. J., A. S. Taschetto, and M. H. England (2010), Global and regional climate response to late twentieth-century warming over the Indian Ocean, Journal of Climate, 23(7), 1660-1674.

Macadam, I., A. J. Pitman, P. H. Whetton, and G. Abramowitz (2010), Ranking climate models by performance using actual values and anomalies: Implications for climate change impact assessments, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L16704.

McNeil, B. I. (2010), Diagnosing coastal ocean CO2 interannual variability from a 40 year hydrographic time series station off the east coast of Australia, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 24, GB4034, doi:10.1029/2010GB003870.

McNeil, B. I., A. Tagliabue and C. Sweeney (2010), A multi-decadal delay in the onset of corrosive ‘acidified’ waters in the Ross Sea of Antarctica due to strong air-sea CO2 disequilibrium, Geophysical Reserach Letters, 37, L19607, doi:10.1029/2010GL044597.

Newell, B. R., and A. J. Pitman (2010), The psychology of global warming: improving the fit between the science and the message, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 91, 1003-1014.

Nicholls, N., P. Uotila, and L. V. Alexander (2010), Synoptic influences on seasonal, interannual and decadal temperature variations in Melbourne, Australia, International Journal of Climatology, 30, 1372-1381.

Phipps, S. J. (2010), Technical Report: The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model v1.2, 121 pp, Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre.

Phipps, S. J., and J. N. Brown (2010), Understanding ENSO dynamics through the exploration of past climates, paper presented at PAGES 1st Young Scientists Meeting "Retrospective views on our planet's future".

Rangan, H., C. Kull, and L. V. Alexander (2010), Forest plantations, water availability and regional climate change: controversies surrounding Acacia mearnsii plantations in the upper Palnis Hills, southern India, Regional Environmental Change, 10(2), 103-117.

Raupach M, Briggs P, Haverd V, Whan K, and Ummenhofer C. (2010). Chapter 4: Impact of climate variability and change on the water balance, In: Program Annual Report 2009/10. South Eastern Australian Climate Initiative (SEACI), CSIRO, Australia, pp. 39-49

Roubicek, A. J., J. VanDerWal, L. J. Beaumont, A. J. Pitman, et al. (2010), Does the choice of climate baseline matter in ecological niche modelling?, Ecological Modelling, 221(19), 2280-2286.

Santoso, A., A. R. Sen Gupta, and M. H. England (2010), Genesis of Indian Ocean mixed layer temperature anomalies: a heat budget analysis, Journal of Climate, 23(20), 5375-5403.

Shaw, E. C., A. J. Gabric, et al. (2010). Response to comment on ‘Impacts of aeolian dust deposition on phytoplankton dynamics in Queensland coastal waters’. Marine and Freshwater Research 61(504-506).

Sherwood, S. C. (2010), Direct versus indirect effects of tropospheric humidity changes on the hydrologic cycle, Environmental Research Letters, 5.

Sherwood, S. C., and M. Huber (2010), An adaptability limit to climate change due to heat stress, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 9552-9555.

Sherwood, S. C., W. Ingram, Y. Tsushima, M. Satoh, et al. (2010), Relative humidity changes in a warmer climate, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115.

Sherwood, S. C., R. Roca, T. M. Weckworth, and N. Andronova (2010), Tropospheric water vapor, convection, and climate, Reviews of Geophysics, 48.

Spence, P. J., J. Fyfe, et al. (2010). Southern ocean response to strengthening winds in an eddy-permitting global climate model. Journal of Climate 23: 5332 - 5343.

Taschetto, A. S., R. J. Haarsma, A. Sen Gupta, C. C. Ummenhofer, et al. (2010), Australian monsoon variability driven by a Gill-Matsuno type response to central-west Pacific warming, Journal of Climate, 23(18), 4717-4736

Taschetto, A. S., R. J. Haarsma, A. R. Sen Gupta, C. C. Ummenhofer, et al. (2010), Teleconnections associated with the intensification of the Australian monsoon during El Niño Modoki events, IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci., 11, 012031

Ummenhofer, C. C. (2010). Southern Hemisphere regional precipitation and climate variability: Extremes, trends, and prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 23: 48-50.

Zika, J., T. J. McDougall, and B. M. Sloyan (2010), A tracer-contour inverse method for estimating ocean circulation and mixing, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 40, 26-47.

Zika, J. (2010), Weak mixing in the eastern North Atlantic: An application of the tracer-contour inverse method, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 40, 1881-1893.

2009

Alexander, L. V., and J. Arblaster (2009), Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 417-435.

Alexander, L. V., N. Tapper, X. Zhang, A. Lynch, et al. (2009), Climate Extremes: Progress and Future Directions. Editorial for Special Issue of International Journal of Climatology, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 317-319.

Alexander, L. V., P. Uotila, and N. Nicholls (2009), Influence of sea surface temperature variability on global temperature and precipitation extremes, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 114.

Allan, R., S. Tett, and L. V. Alexander (2009), Fluctuations in autumn-winter severe storms over the British Isles: 1920 to present, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 357-371.

Ciasto, L. M., and D. W. J. Thompson (2009), Observational Evidence of Reemergence in the Extratropical Southern Hemisphere, Journal of Climate, 22, 1446-1453.

d'Orgeville, M., and W. R. Peltier (2009), Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part II: On the Multidecadal Variability in the North Atlantic Basin., Journal of Climate, 22, 5289-5318.

d'Orgeville, M., and W. R. Peltier (2009), Implications of Both Statistical Equilibrium and Global Warming Simulations with CCSM3. Part I: On the Decadal Variability in the North Pacific Basin, Journal of Climate, 22(20), 5277-5297.

Alexander, L. V., and S. Power (2009), Severe storms inferred from 150 years of sub-daily pressure observations along Victoria's "Shipwreck Coast", Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 58, 129-133.

Ashe, B., K. McAneney, and A. J. Pitman (2009), Total cost of fire in Australia, Journal of Risk Research, 12, 121-136.

Bennett, N. M., C. Ummenhofer, and R. Moran (2009), Peculiarities of Murray Valley Encephalitis (MVE) epidemics in southeastern Australia: The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) as a predictor for epidemics, Victorian Infectious Disease Bulletin, 12(4), 112-115.

Dellnitz, M., G. Froyland, C. Horenkamp, K. Padberg-Gehle and A. R. Sen Gupta (2009), Seasonal variability of the subpolar gyres in the Southern Ocean: a numerical investigation based on transfer operators, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 16, 655-663.

Dessler, A., and S. C. Sherwood (2009), Atmospheric Science: a matter of humidity, Science, 323, 1020-1021.

England, M. H., A. R. Sen Gupta, and A. J. Pitman (2009), Constraining future greenhouse gas emissions by a cumulative target, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106, 16539-16540.

Evans, J. P. (2009), Water Balance in the Murray-Darling Basin and the recent drought as modelled with WRF, in 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, edited by R. S. Anderssen, et al., pp. 2790-2797, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, Cairns.

Evans, J. P. (2009), 21st Century climate change in the Middle East, Climatic Change, 92, 417-432.

Findell, K., A. J. Pitman, M. H. England, and P. Pegion (2009), Regional and global impacts of land over change and sea surface temperature anomalies, Journal of Climate, 22, 3248-3269.

Gitler, A., A. Chesi, M. Geddies, K. Strathearn, S. Hamamichi, K. J. Hill, et al. (2009), α-Synuclein is part of a diverse and highly conserved interaction network that includes PARK9 and manganese toxicity, Nature Genetics, 41, 308-315.

Green, D. L. (2009), Opal waters, rising seas: how sociocultural inequality reduces resilience to climate change among indigenous Australians, in Anthropology and Climate Change, edited by S. Crate and M. Nuttal, Left Coast Press, Walnut Creek, CA, USA.

Green, D. L., U. King, and J. Morrison (2009), Disproportionate burdens: the multidimensional impacts of climate change on the health of indigenous Australians, Medical Journal of Australia, 190, 4-5.

Green, D. L., and K. Ruddock (2009), Climate change impacts in the Torres Strait, Australia, Indigenous Law Bulletin, 7, 8.

Green, D. L., and K. Ruddock (2009), Is climate litigation the answer to the problems faced by Torres Strait Islanders?, Sustainable Development Law and Policy, IX, 23-31.

Griffies, S., A. Biastoch, C. Boening, F. Bryan, E. Chassignet, M. H. England, et al. (2009), Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments (COREs), Ocean Modelling, 26, 1-46.

Hill, K. J., A. Santoso, and M. H. England (2009), Interannual Tasmanian rainfall variability associated with large-scale climate modes, Journal of Climate, 22, 4383-4397.

Hill, K. J., A. S. Taschetto, and M. H. England (2009), South American rainfall impacts associated with inter-El Nino variations, Geophysical Research Letters, 36.

Kiktev, D., J. Caesar, and L. V. Alexander (2009), Temperature and precipitation extremes in the second half of the twentieth century from numerical modeling results and observational data, Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, 45, 284-293.

Lamb, P. J., L. M. Leslie, R. P. Timmer, and M. S. Speer (2009), Multidecadal Variability of Eastern Australian Dust and Northern New Zealand Sunshine: Associations with Pacific Climate System, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 114.

Liu, Y. Y., M. F. McCabe, J. P. Evans, A. I. J. M. V. Dijk, et al. (2009), Comparison of soil moisture in GLDAS model simulations and satellite observations over the Murray Darling Basin, in 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, edited by R. S. Anderssen, et al., pp. 2798-2804, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, Cairns.

Marchesiello, P., and P. Estrade (2009), Eddy activity and mixing in the upwelling systems: a comparative study of northwest Africa and California regions, International Journal of Earth Sciences, 98(2), 299-308.

McAneney, J., K. Chen, and A. J. Pitman (2009), 100-years of Australian bushfire property losses: Is the risk significant and is it increasing?, Journal of Environmental Management, 90, 2819-2833.

McCabe, M. F., Y. Y. Liu, R. Vinukollu, H. Su, J. P Evans, et al. (2009), Comparison of latent heat flux estimates over Australia, in 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, edited by R. S. Anderssen, et al., pp. 2805-2811, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand and International Association for Mathematics and Computers in Simulation, Cairns.

McGregor, S., A. R. Sen Gupta, J. Neil, and S. Power (2009), The modulation of ENSO variability in CCSM3 by extratropical Rossby waves, Journal of Climate, 22(22), 5839-5853.

McNeil, B. I. (2009), The Clean Industrial Revolution: Growing Australian Prosperity in a Greenhouse Age, Allen and Unwin.

McNeil, B. I., and B. Tilbrook (2009), A seasonal carbon budget for the sub-Antarctic Ocean, south of Australia, Marine Chemistry, 115, 196-215.

Moles, A., D. Warton, L. Warman, N. Swenson, S. W. Laffan, A. Zanne, A. J. Pitman et al. (2009), Global patterns in plant height, Journal of Ecology, 97(5), 923-932.

Perkins, S. E., and A. J. Pitman (2009), Do weak AR4 models bias projections of future climate changes over Australia?, Climatic Change, 93(3-4), 527-558.

Perkins, S. E., A. J. Pitman, and S. A. Sisson (2009), Smaller projected increases in 20-year temperature returns over Australia in skill-selected climate models, Geophysical Research Letters, 36.

Phipps, S. J. (2009), Conference Report: Science meets Parliament, Canberra, Australia, 17-18 March 2009, Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, 22(3), 68-69.

Phipps, S. J., J. Gergis, and L. Petherick (2009), Report: PAGES 1st Young Scientists Meeting and 3rd Open Science Meeting, Corvallis, Oregon, USA, 6-11 July 2009, Quaternary Australasia, 26(2), 8-9.

Pitman, A. J., N. De Noblet-Ducourdre, F. Cruz, E. L. Davin, et al. (2009), Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study, Geophysical Research Letters, 36.

Pitman, A. J., and S. E. Perkins (2009), Global and regional comparison of daily 2-m and 1000-hPa maximum and minimum temperatures in three global reanalyses, Journal of Climate, 22, 4667-4681.

Pook, M., S. Lisson, J. Risbey, C. C. Ummenhofer, et al. (2009), The Autumn break for cropping in Southeast Australia: trends, synoptic influences and impacts on wheat yields, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 2012-2026.

Risbey, J., M. J. Pook, P. C. McIntosh, C. C. Ummenhofer, et al. (2009), Characteristics and variability of synoptic features associated with cool season rainfall in southeastern Australia, International Journal of Climatology, 29, 1595-1613.

Sen Gupta, A. R., A. Santoso, A. S. Taschetto, C. C. Ummenhofer, et al. (2009), Projected changes to the Southern Hemisphere ocean and sea-ice in the IPCC AR4 climate models, Journal of Climate, 22, 3047-3078.

Sherwood, S. C., N. Andronova, E. Fetzer, and E. Kursinski (2009), What can water vapor reveal about past and future climate change?, EOS Transactions American Geophysical Union, 90, 122.

Sijp, W., and M. H. England (2009), Southern Hemisphere westerly wind control over the ocean's thermohaline circulation, Journal of Climate, 22, 6639-6652.

Sijp, W., and M. H. England (2009), Atmospheric moisture transport determines climatic response to the opening of the Drake Passage, Journal of Climate, 22, 2483-2493.

Sijp, W. P., and M. H. England (2009), The control of polar haloclines by along-isopycnal diffusion in climate models, Journal of Climate, 22, 486-498.

Sijp, W. P., M. H. England, and J. R. Toggweiler (2009), Effect of ocean gateway changes under greenhouse warmth, Journal of Climate, 22(6639-6652).

Speer, M. S., L. M. Leslie, and A. O. Fierro (2009), Australian east coast rainfall decline related to large scale climate drivers, Climate Dynamics.

Speer, M. S., P. Wiles, and A. Pepler (2009), Low pressure systems off the New South Wales coast and associated hazardous weather: establishment of a database, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 50, 29-39.

Taschetto, A. S., and M. H. England (2009), An analysis of late 20th Century trends in Australian rainfall, International Journal of Climatology, 29(6), 791-807.

Taschetto, A. S., and M. H. England (2009), El Niño Modoki impacts on Australian rainfall, Journal of Climate, 22(11), 3167-3174.

Taschetto, A. S., A. R. Sen Gupta, C. C. Ummenhofer, and M. H. England (2009), How does El Niño Modoki affect the Australian monsoon?, Clivar Exchanges, 14, 35-47.

Taschetto, A. S., C. C. Ummenhofer, A. R. Sen Gupta, and M. H. England (2009), Effect of anomalous warming in the central Pacific on the Australian monsoon, Geophysical Research Letters, 36.

Ummenhofer, C. C., M. H. England, A. R. Sen Gupta, A. S. Taschetto, et al. (2009), What causes southeast Australia's worst droughts?, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, 1-5.

Ummenhofer, C. C., A. R. Sen Gupta, and M. H. England (2009), Causes of late-twentieth century trends in New Zealand precipitation, Journal of Climate, 22, 3-19.

Ummenhofer, C. C., A. R. Sen Gupta, M. H. England, and C. J. C. Reason (2009), Contributions of Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures to enhanced East African rainfall, Journal of Climate, 22(4), 993-1013.

Ummenhofer, C. C., A. R. Sen Gupta, A. S. Taschetto, and M. H. England (2009), Modulation of Australian precipitation by meridional gradients in east Indian Ocean sea surface temperature, Journal of Climate, 22(22), 5597-5610.

Zika, J., B. Sloyan, and T. McDougall (2009), Diagnosing the Southern Ocean overturning from tracer fields, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 39, 2926-2940.

2008

Abramowitz, G., and H. Gupta (2008), Toward a model space and model independence metric, Geophysical Research Letters, 35.

Aiken, C., and M. H. England (2008), Sensitivity of the present-day climate to freshwater forcing associated with Antarctic sea-ice loss, Journal of Climate, 21, 3936-3946.

Arzel, O., M. H. England, and W. Sijp (2008), Reduced stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation due to wind-stress feedback during glacial times, Journal of Climate, 21, 6260-6282.

Arzel, O., T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, and J. Dufresne (2008), Causes and impacts of changes in the Arctic freshwater budget during the twentieth and twenty-first centuries in the AOGCM, Climate Dynamics, 30(1), 37-58.

Beaumont, L. J., L. Hughes, and A. J. Pitman (2008), Why is the choice of future climate scenarios for species distribution modelling important?, Ecology Letters, 11, 1135-1146.

Drost, F., and M. H. England (2008), Twentieth century trends in moisture advection over Australia, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 100, 243-256.

England, M. H. (2008), Water mass variability and change in the Southern Ocean, Trans. Roy. Soc. Vic., 120(2), i-iv.

Evans, J. P., and B. Zaitchik (2008), Modelling the large scale water balance impact of different irrigation systems, Water Resources Research, 44.

Green, D. L. (2008), Climate Change and Health: Impacts on Remote Indigenous Communities in Northern Australia, in Climate Change and Human Health: Global Perspectives, edited, Icfai University Press: India.

Leuning, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Clark, and A. J. Pitman (2008), Evaluating the performance of land surface models, Journal of Climate, 21, 5468-5481.

McNeil, B. I. (2008), Global Ecology of the Oceans and Coasts, in Ecological Economics of the oceans and Coasts, edited by M. Patterson and B. Glavovic, pp. 27-51.

McNeil, B. I., and R. Mataer (2008), Southern Ocean acidification: a tipping point at 450ppm atmospheric CO2, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105(48), 18860-18864.

Moles, A., A. J. Pitman, I. J. Wright, B. R. Murray, et al. (2008), Is there a latitudinal gradient in seed production, Journal of Ecography, 32(1), 78-82.

Pitman, A. J., and S. E. Perkins (2008), Regional projections of future seasonal and annual changes in rainfall, Earth Interactions, 12, 1-50.

Santoso, A., and M. H. England (2008), Antarctic Bottom Water Variability in a Coupled Climate Model, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 38(9), 1870-1893.

Sijp, W., and M. H. England (2008), The effect of a northward shift in the southern hemisphere westerlies on the global ocean, Progress in Oceanography, 79, 1-19.

Speer, M. (2008), On the late twentieth century decrease in Australian east coat rainfall extremes, Atmospheric Science Letters, 9(3), 160-170.

Taschetto, A. S., and M. England (2008), Estimating ensemble size requirements of AGCM simulations, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 100(1), 23-26.

Taschetto, A. S., and I. Wainer (2008), The impact of subtropical South Atlantic SST of South American precipitation, Annales Geophysicae, 26(12), 3457-3476.

Taschetto, A. S., and I. Wainer (2008), Reproducibility of South American precipitation due to subtropical South Atlantic SSTs, Journal of Climate, 21(12), 2835-2851.

Tong, S., J. Mackenzie, A. J. Pitman, G. Fitzgerald, et al. (2008), Global climate change: time to mainstream health risks and their prevention on the medical research and policy agenda, Internal Medicine Journal, 38(6), 445-447.

Trevena, J., W. Sijp, and M. H. England (2008), Stability of Antarctic bottom water formation to freshwater fluxes and implications for global climate, Journal of Climate, 21, 3310-3326.

Trevena, J., W. Sijp, and M. H. England (2008), North Atlantic deep water collapse triggered by Southern Ocean meltwater pulse in a glacial state, Geophysical Research Letters, 35.

Ummenhofer, C. C., A. R. Sen Gupta, M. Pook, and M. H. England (2008), Anomalous rainfall over Southwest Western Australia forced by Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures, Journal of Climate, 21, 5113-5134.

Wainer, I., and A. S. Taschetto (2008), Climatologia dos parametros de superficie marinha da regiao sudeste da costa brasileira: enfase na regiao de Sao Sebastiao, in Oceanografia de um Ecossistema Subtropical: Platforma de Sao Sebastiao, SP, edited by A. M. S. P. Vanin, pp. 41-58, EDUSP.

Zika, J., and T. J. McDougall (2008), Vertical and lateral mixing processes deducted from the Mediterranean, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 38, 164-176.

2007

Abramowitz, G., A. Pitman, H. Gupta, E. Kowalczyk and Y. Wang (2007).  Systematic bias in land surface models.  Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8, 989-1001.

Alloway, B. V., D. J. Lowe, D. J. Barrell, R. M. Newnham, P. C. Almond, P. C. Augustinus, N. A. N. Berlter, L. Carter, N. J. Litchfield, M. S. McGlone, J. Shumeister, M. J. Vandergoes, P. W. Williams and NZ-INTIMATE members (2007).  Towards a climate event stratigraphy for New Zealand over the past 30,000 years (NZ-INTIMATE project).  Journal of Quatenary Science, 22, 9-35.

Arzel, O., A. Colin de Verdiere and T. Huck (2007). On the origin of interdecadal oscillations in a coupled ocen-atmosphere model. Tellus A, 59, 367-383.

Baird, M. E. and I. M. Suthers (2007).  A size-resolved pelagic ecosystem model.  Ecological Modelling, 203, 185-203.

Beaumont, L. A. J. Pitman, L. Hughes and M. Poulsen (2007).  Within and between climate model variability in the simulation of the impact of climate change on butterfly species in Australia,. Global Change Biology, 13, 1368-1385, doi: 10.1111/j. 1365-2486.2007.01357.x

Blennerhassett, P. J. and A. P. Bassom (2007). The linear stability of high-frequency flow in a torsionally oscillating cyclinder. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 576, 491-505.

Bortot, P., S. G. Coles and S. A. Sisson (2007). Inference for stereological extremes. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 102, 84-92.

Choi, H. and M. S. Speer (2007). Influence of secondary chemical processes of gases on PM1, PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations over the Korean coast. Advances in Geosciences, Vol 9: Solid Earth, Ocean Sciences and Atmoshperic Science, World Scientific Publishing.

Drost, F., J. Renwick, B. Bhaskaran, H. Oliver and J. McGregor (2007a). Features of the zonal mean circulation in the Southern Hemisphere during the Last Glacial Maximum. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, D02101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006811.

Drost, F., J.Renwick, B. Bhaskaran, H. Oliver and J. McGregor (2007b). Variability of the zonal mean circulation in the Southern Hemisphere during the Last Glacial Maximum, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1029/2005JD006970.

Drost, F., J. Renwick, B. Bhaskaran, H. Oliver and J. McGregor (2007c). Simulation of New Zealands climate using a high resolution nested regional climate model. International Journal of Climatology, doi:10.1002/joc.1461.

Everett, J. D., M. E. Baird and I. M. Suthers (2007). Nutrient and plankton dynamics in an intermittently closed/open lagoon, Smiths Lake, south-eastern Australia: an ecological model. Estuarine and Coastal Shelf Science, 72, 690-702.

Froyland, G., K. Padberg, M. H. England and A. M. Treguier (2007). Detection of coherent oceanic structures via transfer operators. Physical Review Letters, 98, doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.224503.

Green, D., 2007 contributing author in: Hennessy, K., B. Fitzharris, B.C. Bates, N. Harvey, S.M. Howden, L. Hughes, J. Salinger and R. Warrick, 2007: Australia and New Zealand. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden and C.E. Hanson, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 507-540.

McNeil, B, I. and R. J. Matear (2007). Climate change feedbacks on oceanic pH. Tellus-B: Special issue for the 7th International Carbon Dioxide Conference, 59B, 191-198.

McNeil, B. I., N. Metzel, R. M. Key and R. J. Matear.  An empirical estimate of the Southern Ocean air-sea CO2 flux.  Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 21, GB3011, doi:10.1029/2007GB002991.

Perkins, S. E., A. J. Pitman, N. J. Holbrook and J. McAneney (2007). Evaluation of the AR4 climate models simulated daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation over Australia using probability density functions. Journal of Climate, 20, 4356-4376.

Perkins, S. E., A. J. Pitman, N. J. Holbrook and J. McAneney (2007). Ability of global climate models at a regional scale over Australia. International Journal on Global Environmental Issues, 7 (4), 275-287, doi: 10.1504/IJGENVI.2007.016108.

Pitman, A. J. and Perkins, S. E. (2007). Climate change science: status and next steps in the pro and next steps in the projection of future changes. Environmental Health, 7, 21-42.

Pitman, A.J. and Perkins, S.E. (2007).  Reducing uncertainty in selecting climate models for hydrological impact assessments, in Boegh, E., Kunstmann, H., Wagener, T., Hall, A., Bastidas, L., Franks, S., Gupta, H., Rosbjerg, D. And Schaake, J., Quantification and reduction of predictive uncertainty for sustainable water resource management, IAHS Publication 313, IAHS Press.
Pitman, A. J. and P. Hesse (2007). The significance of large scale land cover change on the Australian palaeomonsoon. Quaternary Research Letters, 26, 189-200.

Pitman, A. J., G. T. Narisma and J. McAneney. The impact of climate change on Australian bush fire risk. Climatic Change, 84, 383-401 doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9243-6.

Randall, D., R. A. Wood, S. Bony, R. Colman, T. Fichefet, J. Fyfe, V. Kattsov, A. Pitman, J. Shukla, J. Srinivasan, R. J. Stouffer, A. Sumi, and K. Taylor, 2007: Climate models and their evaluation. Climate Change 2007: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Solomon, S., Ed., Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.

Sen Gupta, A., and M.H. England (2007a). Atmosphere - Ocean - Atmosphere coupling of the Southern Annular Mode, CLIVAR Exchanges, 12(3), 23-24.

Sen Gupta, A., and M.H. England (2007b). Coupled ocean-atmosphere feedback in the Southern Annular Mode. Journal of Climate, 20, 3677-3692.

Sen Gupta, A., and M. H. England (2007c). Evaluation of interior circulation in a high resolution global ocean model, Part II: Southern Hemisphere Intermediate, Mode, and Thermocline Waters. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 37, 2612-2636.

Sisson, S. A., Y. Fan and M. M. Tanaka (2007). Sequential Monte Carlo without likelihoods. Proceedings National Academy of Science USA, 104, 1760-1765.

Sisson, S. A. (2007). Genetics and stochastic simulation do mix! The American Statistican, 61, 112-119. Sisson, S. A. and Y. Fan (2007). A distance-based diagnostic for trans-dimensional Markov chains. Statistics and Computing, 17, 357-367.

Smith, R. and J.P. Evans (2007).  Orographic precipitation and water vapor fractionation over the southern Andes. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 8: 3-19.

Taschetto, A. S., I. Wainer and M. Raphael (2007). Interannual variability associated with semi-annual oscillation in southern high latitudes. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 112, DO2106, doi:10.1029/2006JD007648.

Treguier, A-M., M. H. England, S.R. Rintoul, G. Madec, J. Le Sommer and J-M. Molines (2007). Southern Ocean overturning across streamlines in an eddying simulation of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Ocean Science, 3, 491-507.

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